Key candidates to replace ECB president Christine Lagarde

Candidates from both the hawkish and dovish wings of European central banking have been positioning for months

The European Central Bank headquarters in Frankfurt: Candidates to replace president Christine Lagarde have been positioning for months. Photograph: Kirill Kudryavtsev / AFP via Getty Images
The European Central Bank headquarters in Frankfurt: Candidates to replace president Christine Lagarde have been positioning for months. Photograph: Kirill Kudryavtsev / AFP via Getty Images

Candidates to replace European Central Bank (ECB) president Christine Lagarde have been positioning for months but ‌Lagarde’s resignation on Thursday kick-starts a formal selection process that is expected to wrap up in the coming weeks.

The following are key candidates for the ECB presidency.

Klaas Knot: A trained monetary economist, Knot (59) served two ‌full terms as the head of the Dutch central bank from 2011 to 2025 and has spent most of his time since then in an advisory role or campaigning for the ECB presidency.

His 14 years on the ​ECB’s rate-setting governing council can be characterised by two distinct periods: increasingly open hostility to then ECB president Mario Draghi’s stimulus measures and perfect harmony with Christine Lagarde, who succeeded Draghi in 2019.

Klaas Knot. Photograph: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg
Klaas Knot. Photograph: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg

Considered a pragmatic policy hawk, Knot joined in a period of upheaval as the euro zone suffered a series of financial and debt crises that threatened to rip it apart. He had initially expressed reservations about Draghi’s “whatever it takes” pledge to preserve the euro ​but came around, unlike his German colleague, and eventually called it a pivotal moment.

However, he came into open conflict with Draghi in the following years when the ECB unleashed a massive stimulus effort to rekindle inflation during ⁠a decade it undershot the 2 per cent target.

The criticism was initially reserved for private discussion but came fully into the open in late 2019 when Draghi pushed through a ‌new ‌stimulus ​scheme, despite the opposition of a third of policymakers, an unprecedented rift for a collegial body that usually decides matters unanimously.

Under Lagarde, Knot came back into the fold, even if he was an early advocate for tighter policy in response to the historic 2022 inflation ⁠surge.

From 2021, Knot also served as chairman of the Financial Stability Board, ​a global body responsible for monitoring financial stress and devising policy recommendations.

Pablo Hernandez de Cos: Considered a moderate policy dove, de Cos (55) has been heading the Bank for International Settlements, the global umbrella group of central banks, since 2025.

He also served one six-year term as ‌the Bank of Spain governor from 2018 to 2024, a tumultuous ​period that started with ultra-low inflation, followed by the pandemic and a historic interest rate hike cycle to tame runaway inflation.

De Cos also served as the Bank of ⁠Spain’s chief economist, taking the rare step of moving from staff to ⁠a policymaking role, a reflection of his success ​in elevating the profile of research at the bank.

Colleagues describe him as a pragmatic economist, possibly even a swing voter, who always brings a wealth of evidence and data to back his points, avoids dogma, and is known for being a team player.

Pablo Hernandez de Cos. Photograph:  Indranil Aditya/NurPhoto via Getty Images
Pablo Hernandez de Cos. Photograph: Indranil Aditya/NurPhoto via Getty Images

Earlier this year when some of the world’s top central bankers openly backed Jerome Powell, then the chairman of the US Federal Reserve, against political pressures, de Cos was said to be a key coordinator of the process.

De Cos also gained an international profile when he served as the chairman of the Basle Committee on Banking Supervision, the most important global forum dedicated to monitoring and harmonising banking rules.

Joachim Nagel: The head of the Bundesbank since 2022, Nagel (60) has fundamentally altered Germany’s relationship with the ECB.

While his predecessor, Jens Weidmann, was in open ‌conflict with Mario Draghi’s ECB for years, ⁠Nagel has toned down the rhetoric and rejoined the fold, even if he remains a moderate hawk.

Colleagues say Nagel, also a PhD economist, clearly expresses his red lines but can compromise on other issues and he is not known to have opposed any key policy decision during his tenure, a big change ‌from the hostility of his predecessors.

Joachim Nagel. Photograph: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg
Joachim Nagel. Photograph: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg

He has also supported the creation of the European Deposit Insurance Scheme, a project Berlin has long opposed, fearing that the German taxpayer would have to pay for the financial irresponsibility ​of others.

Nagel has fiercely defended the ECB’s independence, pushed back on political criticism of the bank, and recently argued that some ​of the proposals of the far-right AfD party were self-defeating and could scare away investors.

A member of Germany’s Social Democratic Party, Nagel previously held senior roles at the Bank for International Settlements and the KfW Group.

Although politically in the context of the ECB, Germany and its Bundesbank is a pivotal player, of the three, he is seen as the least likely winner. – Reuters

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