Oil rises on Middle East supply fears

Falling US crude and product inventories lend support to prices

A fifth of the world’s traded oil and gas transited through the Strait of Hormuz before the war. Photograph: Vahid Salemi/AP
A fifth of the world’s traded oil and gas transited through the Strait of Hormuz before the war. Photograph: Vahid Salemi/AP

Oil prices gained over $1 on Wednesday as ​escalating Middle East tensions fuelled fears of supply disruptions, while falling US crude and product inventories lent support to the market.

Brent crude futures rose $1.59, or 1.5 per cent, to $110.38 per barrel as of 0350 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained $1.36, or 1.4 per cent, to $99.18 per barrel.

Prices fell in ​the previous trading session after Iran’s president discussed mediation efforts in a meeting with Pakistan’s army chief in Tehran, though Brent hit a five-month high ⁠before easing.

“Oil prices have been having a bit of wild ride in the last couple of sessions,” ‌said ‌Suvro ​Sarkar, head of energy research at DBS.

“We believe this is a mix of profit taking and optimistic hopes of a Qatar- or Pakistan-brokered deal, countered by the realisation that ⁠any deal is still very distant ​and compounded further by inventory data from the American Petroleum ​Institute (API), which shows drawdowns continuing in the US for both crude and products.”

Iran told Pakistan’s army chief there would ‌be no talks with Washington until its demands ​were met, Iranian media outlet Nournews reported on Tuesday, adding that a Qatari delegation had arrived in Tehran. There ⁠was no official confirmation of the reports.

Maritime security ⁠risks are also escalating. ​Shiptracker Kpler said on Monday that at least 18 vessel attacks were recorded over the past two weeks, while LSEG analysts warned Iran was targeting tankers well beyond the Strait of Hormuz, reaching into the Gulf of Oman and jeopardising Gulf crude loadings and the ship-to-ship transfers supporting regional loadings.

In Saudi Arabia, the Houthis on Monday claimed responsibility for attacks on a Saudi Aramco site in Yanbu, the Shaybah oilfield and Saudi Arabia’s Riyadh and Abha airports.

The death toll from a Houthi attack on Yemeni government forces ‌on Monday rose to 73 ⁠as fighting intensified.

Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araqchi said in a television interview aired on Tuesday that Iran has not received a response from Saudi Arabia or Yemen’s Houthis to its offer ‌to help broker peace talks.

In the US, two Energy Department officials said on Tuesday they were working with refiners around the world to ​boost fuel output as a diesel shortage has raised prices.

According to market sources ​citing API data, US crude stocks fell by 4.9 million barrels in the week ended October 16th. - Reuters

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