On the face of it, the Government is making good on its promise to issue deportation orders to anyone who entered the State as an asylum seeker but no longer has a right to be here.
Until mid-July, some 1,067 deportation orders have been issued, which is up from 948 for the entirety of last year, and 270 for the year previous to that. If this trend continues, there could be a record number of deportation orders issued this year, potentially well above 2,000.
Of the deportation orders issued so far this year, however, only 65 have been personally enforced by the Garda National Immigration Bureau (GNIB), which is responsible for carrying out inquiries to confirm that people have removed themselves from the State.
More than 300 people left the State voluntarily, and after this there seems to be a gap in calculating how many failed asylum seekers have actually departed.
Undocumented Irish could be ‘low-hanging fruit’ in Trump’s campaign to deport illegal immigrants
What is happening in Ballaghaderreen? Why the Co Roscommon town is back in the headlines
Election housing debate should not be about ‘shouting numbers’, Simon Harris says
Dublin West constituency profile: Fine Gael Senator has decent chance of picking up Varadkar seat
Because there are no routine exit checks at Irish borders to verify whether every person has left the State, it is not actually possible to say exactly how many people departed without confirming with the Department of Justice..
[ Deportation orders issued in last six months exceed 1,000Opens in new window ]
While Ministers have toughened up their language in recent months around the importance of seeing orders through, the reality is that deportation operations are complex and expensive. The orders require detection work, detentions in custody, challenges with obtaining travel documents and the cost of flights and other travel.
This is why there is a huge focus on the voluntary return programme. People who are eligible to take part in this benefit from assistance to reintegrate back into their home country. If the migrant goes through this process, a deportation order is not needed. In 2023, 213 individuals availed of a voluntary return, more than double the 2022 figure of 91. Last year’s figure was already surpassed by July 2024, with just over 300 people leaving the State under the programme.
In the last six months, Government policy has also shifted significantly.
Seven extra countries were added to the to the safe country list. Algeria and Botswana were added early this year and there has been a drop of more than 50 per cent in applications from these countries.
Extra resources have also been allocated at Dublin Airport to carry out “doorstop” operations on flights that pose risks of irregular migration. It is understood that more than 3,700 such operations were carried out in the first half of 2024.
The key question the Government will have to answer in advance of the next election are: is the State’s deportation policy working? And how many people have actually complied with their order?
- Listen to our Inside Politics Podcast for the latest analysis and chat
- Sign up for push alerts and have the best news, analysis and comment delivered directly to your phone
- Find The Irish Times on WhatsApp and stay up to date