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Stocktake: Recession outlook is key for stocks

Stocktake: Recession outlook is key for stocks

Credit-driven recessions are much more painful than inflation-driven recessions and there are grounds for hope

Tue Jul 05 2022 - 04:00
Ordinary investors remain miserable, US poll finds

Ordinary investors remain miserable, US poll finds

Miserable sentiment is associated with above-average six- and 12-month returns

Tue Jun 28 2022 - 05:00
Outlook improves for long-term investors

Outlook improves for long-term investors

US measures still above long-term norms but European stocks currently priced to deliver positive returns

Tue Jun 28 2022 - 04:45
Stocks are getting cheap, but earnings look shaky

Stocks are getting cheap, but earnings look shaky

Earnings downgrades are ‘matter of when, not if’, analysts say

Tue Jun 28 2022 - 04:30
Time to dip a toe in stock market water?

Time to dip a toe in stock market water?

Bearish commentator says he now sees signs of a market bottom

Tue Jun 28 2022 - 04:00
Stocktake: Earnings estimates fail to account for changed circumstances

Stocktake: Earnings estimates fail to account for changed circumstances

Higher interest rates and lower liquidity haven’t yet hit company earnings to any great degree, but they will

Tue Jun 21 2022 - 05:15
Stocktake: Bloodied markets are braced for more big rate hikes

Stocktake: Bloodied markets are braced for more big rate hikes

Investors must grapple with a hawkish Fed during a bear market for the first time since the early 1980s

Tue Jun 21 2022 - 05:00
Stocktake: Fund manager sentiment is ‘dire’

Stocktake: Fund manager sentiment is ‘dire’

Bank of America notes most indicators are at levels suggesting investor capitulation

Tue Jun 21 2022 - 05:00
Index changes reflect Facebook’s fall

Index changes reflect Facebook’s fall

Meta accounts for 2.45% of the Russell 1000 Growth index

Tue Jun 14 2022 - 10:11
Index changes reflect Facebook’s fall

Index changes reflect Facebook’s fall

Meta accounts for 2.45% of the Russell 1000 Growth index

Tue Jun 14 2022 - 06:45
Mercurial Musk keeps changing his mind

Mercurial Musk keeps changing his mind

Tesla shareholders frustrated by contradictory stance on staffing issues

Tue Jun 14 2022 - 06:30
Stocktake: ‘We’re closer to the end of the decline than the beginning’

Stocktake: ‘We’re closer to the end of the decline than the beginning’

‘We’re closer to the end of the market decline than the beginning’

Tue Jun 14 2022 - 06:15
Stocktake: An extended bear market? Here’s hoping

Stocktake: An extended bear market? Here’s hoping

For most ordinary investors, however, lower stock prices are equivalent to cheaper hamburgers.

Tue Jun 14 2022 - 06:00
Investors worry about bear market rally

Investors worry about bear market rally

Heed the old cliché: good investing is not about timing the market, it’s about time in the market

Tue Jun 07 2022 - 06:38
Stocktake: Jamie Dimon’s warning was misrepresented

Stocktake: Jamie Dimon’s warning was misrepresented

Bank chief warns of hurricane heading for US economy but it might yet be alright

Tue Jun 07 2022 - 05:00
Stocktake: Many stocks never come back

Stocktake: Many stocks never come back

Markets will always recover, but losses for some stocks are permanent

Tue Jun 07 2022 - 04:15
Stocktake: Traders keeping an eye on the Vix

Stocktake: Traders keeping an eye on the Vix

A Vix at or above 40 is generally ‘a decent level to begin looking for a bottom’

Tue Jun 07 2022 - 02:45
Racial bias in analyst forecasts

Racial bias in analyst forecasts

Companies headed by non-white chief executives more likely to exceed their price targets, study finds

Tue May 31 2022 - 06:00
Stocktake: Is Tesla an ESG stock?

Stocktake: Is Tesla an ESG stock?

investors are right to be sceptical about what they’re getting when they buy into an ESG index

Tue May 31 2022 - 05:30
Snap: great company, poor stock

Snap: great company, poor stock

Social media platform has delivered on revenues but market expectations were too high

Tue May 31 2022 - 05:10
More woes may loom for growth traps

More woes may loom for growth traps

High-flying companies that fall short of heady revenue expectations are vulnerable

Tue May 31 2022 - 04:00
Stocktake: For investors, beauty isn’t just skin deep

Stocktake: For investors, beauty isn’t just skin deep

Why we’re biased toward more attractive fund managers and chief executives

Tue May 24 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Fund manager sentiment turns grim

Stocktake: Fund manager sentiment turns grim

Even if stocks rally now, it’s unlikely to last as all the indicators have turned negative

Tue May 24 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: US recession outlook is key for stocks

Stocktake: US recession outlook is key for stocks

There’s a big difference between recessionary and non-recessionary bear markets

Tue May 24 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Are US stocks cheap?

Stocktake: Are US stocks cheap?

Inflation brings an added layer of uncertainty to the recent market plunge

Tue May 24 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: We all knew the bubbles would burst

Stocktake: We all knew the bubbles would burst

It was plain that many valuations were crazy but investors couldn’t restrain themselves

Tue May 17 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: How long do bear markets last?

Stocktake: How long do bear markets last?

Long-term investors have no choice but to be patient

Tue May 17 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Stock market losses piling up for investors

Stocktake: Stock market losses piling up for investors

Tech stocks have borne the brunt of the selling, losing some $3trn

Tue May 17 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Traders looking for signs of capitulation

Stocktake: Traders looking for signs of capitulation

Has the market hit bottom yet? It’s possible, but things could still become a lot worse

Tue May 17 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Dalio says tech bubble stocks still not safe

Stocktake: Dalio says tech bubble stocks still not safe

Bubbles take a long time to unwind and ‘typically go to the opposite extreme’

Tue May 10 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Investors grapple with uncertainty over rising rates

Stocktake: Investors grapple with uncertainty over rising rates

Market volatility not likely to dissipate soon

Tue May 10 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Should investors sell in May and go away?

Stocktake: Should investors sell in May and go away?

The strategy may be ‘random nonsense’, says investor, but it might be worth considering

Tue May 10 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Cathie Wood misses point on passive investing

Stocktake: Cathie Wood misses point on passive investing

Fund manager complains passive funds curbed vast earnings for investors

Tue May 10 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Losing faith in the Tina trade

Stocktake: Losing faith in the Tina trade

Barclays cautions equity allocations remain at near-record levels

Tue May 03 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Investors wary on Musk’s Twitter deal

Stocktake: Investors wary on Musk’s Twitter deal

Slow-growing Twitter couldn’t find a rival to contest Tesla boss’s low-ball bid

Tue May 03 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: 2022’s market volatility is normal

Stocktake: 2022’s market volatility is normal

History shows there’s nothing exceptional or necessarily worrying about recent turmoil

Tue May 03 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Fund managers go from hero to zero

Stocktake: Fund managers go from hero to zero

Past performance is emphatically no guide to future returns, the research shows

Tue May 03 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Value rally has room to run, fund giant claims

Stocktake: Value rally has room to run, fund giant claims

Recent growth-stock slide ‘barely puts a dent in differential’ between value and growth

Tue Apr 26 2022 - 05:00
Stocktake: Retail investor sentiment nosedives

Stocktake: Retail investor sentiment nosedives

Unusually bearish readings are generally associated with above-average six- and 12-month returns

Tue Apr 26 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Air comes out of Cathie Wood’s Ark bubble

Stocktake: Air comes out of Cathie Wood’s Ark bubble

Giant ETF that loaded up on firms such as Tesla and Zoom is battered as values tumble

Tue Apr 26 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Growth investors abandon Netflix

Stocktake: Growth investors abandon Netflix

Netflix bulls will also note it has bounced back before

Tue Apr 26 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Mixed signals for contrarians in fund manager survey

Stocktake: Mixed signals for contrarians in fund manager survey

Despite plunging global growth and profit expectations, investors actually got slightly more bullish on stocks

Tue Apr 19 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Recession prospects key to market outlook

Stocktake: Recession prospects key to market outlook

Key question is whether a US recession is on the horizon

Tue Apr 19 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Investors will demand a good earnings season

Stocktake: Investors will demand a good earnings season

Analysts lowball estimates so companies can beat them by 5-6 per cent

Tue Apr 19 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Many stocks shrugging off market weakness

Stocktake: Many stocks shrugging off market weakness

Global value stocks still look cheap, auguring well for long-term returns

Tue Apr 19 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Have tech stocks bottomed?

Stocktake: Have tech stocks bottomed?

Despite setbacks in recent days, there are grounds to be optimistic about the sector

Tue Apr 12 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Risk of Le Pen victory spooks the markets

Stocktake: Risk of Le Pen victory spooks the markets

Investors are fearful but the most likely outcome remains another win for Macron

Tue Apr 12 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Don't fear the yield curve

Stocktake: Don't fear the yield curve

Inversion may be economically significant but it doesn’t mean stocks are going south

Tue Apr 12 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: Investors grapple with rate hikes

Stocktake: Investors grapple with rate hikes

With the Fed on high alert over inflation, there’s good reason for investors to be nervy

Tue Apr 12 2022 - 00:00
Stocktake: ESG investing a ‘feel-good scam’, says finance professor

Stocktake: ESG investing a ‘feel-good scam’, says finance professor

ESG measurement services like Sustainalytics missed the ‘Russia effect’

Tue Apr 05 2022 - 00:00
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