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Investors cheer up as they suspect rate-hiking cycle could soon be over

Investors cheer up as they suspect rate-hiking cycle could soon be over

Stocktake: Fed chairman has offered no real reassurance, but his tone has become a little less hawkish and scolding

Tue Feb 07 2023 - 04:00
Does January’s strength bode well for stocks?

Does January’s strength bode well for stocks?

Historically stocks have been much more likely to keep rising when stocks advanced in January, compared to when they fell

Tue Jan 31 2023 - 05:15
Stock market rally may have room to run

Stock market rally may have room to run

Hedge funds covering their short bets has been a major driver of the rally

Tue Jan 31 2023 - 05:00
Market rally: is this time different?

Market rally: is this time different?

Companies selling things people want are outperforming those selling things people need which is a good sign

Tue Jan 31 2023 - 04:45
Bearish Grantham says political cycle can help stocks – for now

Bearish Grantham says political cycle can help stocks – for now

US presidents tend to stimulate the economy so the labour market is looking healthy in the six-month run-up to election time

Tue Jan 31 2023 - 04:30
Global stock market breadth is improving

Global stock market breadth is improving

Overall market action looking healthier despite recent setbacks for global stocks

Tue Jan 24 2023 - 05:00
Investors turn their back on the US

Investors turn their back on the US

Despite last year’s rise in the dollar, the US also underperformed in 2022

Tue Jan 24 2023 - 04:40
Can European stocks keep gaining?

Can European stocks keep gaining?

Analyst suggests rally is more a case of short sellers covering losing bets than fund managers upping allocations

Tue Jan 24 2023 - 04:20
Fund managers are still wary about stocks

Fund managers are still wary about stocks

Investors especially reluctant to buy US stocks while angst regarding Europe continues to recede

Tue Jan 24 2023 - 04:00
Are low expectations for US earnings low enough?

Are low expectations for US earnings low enough?

Profit margins remain near all-time highs and are well above pre-pandemic levels

Tue Jan 17 2023 - 05:00
Tesla and other EV stocks a car crash for investor returns

Tesla and other EV stocks a car crash for investor returns

Seventeen of the 18 electric vehicle stocks to go public since mid-2020 are in the red by a median 87%

Tue Jan 17 2023 - 05:00
Tech giants are masking healthy signs in US indices

Tech giants are masking healthy signs in US indices

65% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 200-day average but this growth is happening under the radar

Tue Jan 17 2023 - 04:45
Is the bear market ending?

Is the bear market ending?

European stocks, buoyed by easing energy prices, better-than-expected economic data and China’s reopening, have been especially strong

Tue Jan 17 2023 - 04:30
Tesla’s share price collapse was overdue

Tesla’s share price collapse was overdue

Carmaker is no longer overvalued but its shares are still not cheap, even after 70% pullback in market cap

Tue Jan 10 2023 - 05:40
Don’t expect average returns in 2023

Don’t expect average returns in 2023

US stocks have delivered ‘average’ returns in the 8%-10% range in only one year since 1928

Tue Jan 10 2023 - 05:15
Tech stocks key to market fortunes

Tech stocks key to market fortunes

Just six stocks – Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Tesla and Meta – were responsible for one-third of the MSCI world index’s 19.5% fall last year

Tue Jan 10 2023 - 05:00
2022 was an annus horribilis for investors

2022 was an annus horribilis for investors

Research shows bad years tend to be followed by strong gains but there’s little current sign of an end to the bear market

Tue Jan 10 2023 - 04:30
Musk’s culture war is hurting Tesla’s brand

Musk’s culture war is hurting Tesla’s brand

Investor urges carmaker’s chief to stop ‘attacking his woke left customer base’ following sharp drop in company’s stock value

Tue Dec 20 2022 - 05:30
Don’t fight the Fed

Don’t fight the Fed

The Federal Reserve expects interest rates to exceed 5% at the end of 2023, 75 basis points higher than market expectations

Tue Dec 20 2022 - 05:15
Fund managers still cautious about stocks  despite a drop in risk aversion

Fund managers still cautious about stocks despite a drop in risk aversion

Cash levels have fallen but they remain much higher than usual

Tue Dec 20 2022 - 04:55
Next decade looks better for investors

Next decade looks better for investors

US stocks are expected to return 4.7% to 6.7% annually over the next decade, and bond outlook is much improved thanks to rising rates

Tue Dec 20 2022 - 04:30
Investors still focused on past performance

Investors still focused on past performance

Savers are more cost-conscious but nine in 10 still consider common performance measures when selecting a fund

Tue Dec 13 2022 - 05:15
Markets fret over US recession

Markets fret over US recession

The Federal Reserve’s recession probability model estimates recession odds of just 38% in the next year

Tue Dec 13 2022 - 05:00
A crystal ball on earnings is of little use

A crystal ball on earnings is of little use

Stock prices are sensitive to ‘sentiment and vibes’, which are beyond the reach of any rational forecast

Tue Dec 13 2022 - 04:45
Wall Street predicts a rough ride for stocks in 2023

Wall Street predicts a rough ride for stocks in 2023

Variability in forecasts between banks and even between best/worst scenarios within banks is wider than usual, underlining uncertainty

Tue Dec 13 2022 - 04:30
Stockwatch: ECB puts the boot into bitcoin

Stockwatch: ECB puts the boot into bitcoin

Central bankers say bitcoin is on ‘the road to irrelevance’, but it is still capable of bouncing back

Tue Dec 06 2022 - 05:30
History suggests 2023 will be better for shares

History suggests 2023 will be better for shares

Stocktake

Tue Dec 06 2022 - 05:15
Value stocks priced for more outperformance

Value stocks priced for more outperformance

The most expensive US growth stocks still look pricey relative to the rest of the market

Tue Dec 06 2022 - 05:00
Stocktake: Have investors become complacent about a US recession?

Stocktake: Have investors become complacent about a US recession?

Recent rally may be close to its end point as investors are ‘overbought and overconfident’

Tue Dec 06 2022 - 04:30
Stocktake: Goldman warns of ‘lingering’ bear market in 2023

Stocktake: Goldman warns of ‘lingering’ bear market in 2023

Analyst is looking for more signs of investor capitulation before equity valuations bottom out

Tue Nov 29 2022 - 05:15
Stocktake: Can a global index be undiversified?

Stocktake: Can a global index be undiversified?

US stocks now comprise about 70% of the index, double the percentage in 1995

Tue Nov 29 2022 - 05:00
Markets turn calm after hectic year

Markets turn calm after hectic year

Typically stocks do well in calm periods and not so well in volatile periods

Tue Nov 29 2022 - 04:45
More stocks are participating in market rally

More stocks are participating in market rally

Long-term market breadth is expanding rapidly, suggesting the bears are losing control of the market narrative

Tue Nov 29 2022 - 04:30
Investing in political influence pays off

Investing in political influence pays off

Over the last 20 years, high lobbying yield stocks outperformed the market by 2.3% per year with ‘remarkable consistency’

Tue Nov 22 2022 - 05:30
High inflation may persist for years

High inflation may persist for years

Fed’s expectations regarding the speed of inflation reverting to 2% remain ‘dangerously optimistic’

Tue Nov 22 2022 - 05:00
Strategists: buy weakness, not strength

Strategists: buy weakness, not strength

Market bulls have been burned on so many occasions this year that it’s not surprising strategists are a little cautious

Tue Nov 22 2022 - 04:45
Stocktake: Fund managers still ‘uber-bearish’, says BofA

Stocktake: Fund managers still ‘uber-bearish’, says BofA

Investors are especially wary of technology stocks, with allocations hitting their lowest level since 2006

Tue Nov 22 2022 - 04:30
Stocktake: Forecast annual stock return for the next 10 to 15 years leaps to 7.9%

Stocktake: Forecast annual stock return for the next 10 to 15 years leaps to 7.9%

US stocks are now priced to deliver long-term annualised returns of 7.9% up from 4.1% a year ago

Tue Nov 15 2022 - 05:15
Stocktake: Investors hoping for a ‘Santa pause’ rally

Stocktake: Investors hoping for a ‘Santa pause’ rally

Debate rages over whether Federal Reserve will or should adopt a more dovish stance

Tue Nov 15 2022 - 05:00
Musk is testing investors’ patience

Musk is testing investors’ patience

Analysts annoyed that endless Twitter controversies are potentially damaging Tesla’s global brand

Tue Nov 15 2022 - 04:30
Stocktake: Dramatic surge could be more than another a bear-market rally

Stocktake: Dramatic surge could be more than another a bear-market rally

Investors will hope history repeats itself in the coming months after a very troubled year for stock markets

Tue Nov 15 2022 - 04:00
Stocktake: US midterm elections spark fears about conflict over the debt ceiling

Stocktake: US midterm elections spark fears about conflict over the debt ceiling

Why it might be better for investors if Republicans were to win both control of houses of Congress instead of just one

Tue Nov 08 2022 - 05:15
Just another bear market rally?

Just another bear market rally?

October’s advance was furious but the rally stopped short of the index’s 200-day moving average

Tue Nov 08 2022 - 05:00
Pandemic savings may be cushioning investors

Pandemic savings may be cushioning investors

Excess savings behind continuing equity fund inflows as households retain healthy financial cushion, say analysts

Tue Nov 08 2022 - 04:45
Weary investors fear hawkish US Federal Reserve

Weary investors fear hawkish US Federal Reserve

Chairman Jerome Powell appears to share view that tough medicine necessary to properly see off inflation

Tue Nov 08 2022 - 04:30
Will US midterm elections boost stocks?

Will US midterm elections boost stocks?

Markets usually like gridlock, as it reduces the odds of big policy changes

Tue Nov 01 2022 - 05:15
Stocktake: Investors spooked by China’s authoritarian turn

Stocktake: Investors spooked by China’s authoritarian turn

Xi Jinping has pushed aside premier and central bank boss who favoured market reforms and stacked politburo with loyalists

Tue Nov 01 2022 - 05:00
Zuckerbeg spending ‘like a drunken sailor’ on metaverse

Zuckerbeg spending ‘like a drunken sailor’ on metaverse

Shares have lost almost three-quarters of their value and are now back at 2016 levels as investor disquiet grows

Tue Nov 01 2022 - 04:30
Stocktake: A terrible week for the tech giants

Stocktake: A terrible week for the tech giants

Analysts argue that there is further pain on the way for tech stocks which account for a large share of S&P500

Tue Nov 01 2022 - 04:30
Stocktake: Hiring black CEOs can boost share prices

Stocktake: Hiring black CEOs can boost share prices

Racial bias means a black CEO candidate must be exceptional to even be considered for the role

Tue Oct 25 2022 - 05:20
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