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Good news is bad news for stocks

Good news is bad news for stocks

Continued economic strength means inflation is not coming down quickly enough

Tue Feb 28 2023 - 04:30
Tax treatment of exchange-traded funds has to change

Tax treatment of exchange-traded funds has to change

Higher tax rate can encourage investors either to take bigger risks, or leave cash earning nothing on deposit

Tue Feb 21 2023 - 05:01
Investors shrug off lacklustre earnings

Investors shrug off lacklustre earnings

Forward earnings growth has turned negative which has happened four times since 2000, with stocks seeing significant downside each time

Tue Feb 21 2023 - 04:45
Pain trade is still up for stocks

Pain trade is still up for stocks

Cash allocations may have fallen, but they remain well above historical averages

Tue Feb 21 2023 - 04:30
Momentum bodes well for stocks

Momentum bodes well for stocks

The S&P 500 index has registered 10 consecutive days above its one-year moving average

Tue Feb 21 2023 - 04:01
High levels of trading could augur well for stocks

High levels of trading could augur well for stocks

Stocktake: Analyst points to intraday gains on 12 days out of 13, which is rare and a feature of a bull market

Tue Feb 14 2023 - 04:00
Market behaviour looks increasingly bullish

Market behaviour looks increasingly bullish

At its recent peak, the S&P 500 was 20.1 per cent above its October low and rally has lasted four months now

Tue Feb 14 2023 - 04:00
Stocktake: Have investors overreacted to Microsoft’s ChatGPT threat to Google?

Stocktake: Have investors overreacted to Microsoft’s ChatGPT threat to Google?

Alphabet shares lost $100bn in value last week after Google’s chatbot Bard made an error in a promotional video

Tue Feb 14 2023 - 04:00
Tech stocks enjoy big rebound despite poor earnings

Tech stocks enjoy big rebound despite poor earnings

Stocktake: Signs of hope after a rough 2022 but stocks are unlikely to sustain strong performance in a high interest-rate environment

Tue Feb 14 2023 - 04:00
Adani fails to reassure investors amid damaging allegations and $100bn loss of value

Adani fails to reassure investors amid damaging allegations and $100bn loss of value

Stocktake: Troubled group responds to allegations with much waffle and desperate appeals to Indian nationalist sentiment

Tue Feb 07 2023 - 05:08
Is the dash for trash cause for investor concern?

Is the dash for trash cause for investor concern?

Stocktake: Almost anything that was slaughtered in 2022 has soared in 2023 but many are calling it a junk rally

Tue Feb 07 2023 - 05:00
Investors cheer up as they suspect rate-hiking cycle could soon be over

Investors cheer up as they suspect rate-hiking cycle could soon be over

Stocktake: Fed chairman has offered no real reassurance, but his tone has become a little less hawkish and scolding

Tue Feb 07 2023 - 04:00
Short selling is a tough way to make money

Short selling is a tough way to make money

Stocktake: Leading money manager Bill Ackman won’t risk shorting Adani Group even though he is impressed by damning report

Tue Feb 07 2023 - 04:00
Does January’s strength bode well for stocks?

Does January’s strength bode well for stocks?

Historically stocks have been much more likely to keep rising when stocks advanced in January, compared to when they fell

Tue Jan 31 2023 - 05:15
Stock market rally may have room to run

Stock market rally may have room to run

Hedge funds covering their short bets has been a major driver of the rally

Tue Jan 31 2023 - 05:00
Market rally: is this time different?

Market rally: is this time different?

Companies selling things people want are outperforming those selling things people need which is a good sign

Tue Jan 31 2023 - 04:45
Bearish Grantham says political cycle can help stocks – for now

Bearish Grantham says political cycle can help stocks – for now

US presidents tend to stimulate the economy so the labour market is looking healthy in the six-month run-up to election time

Tue Jan 31 2023 - 04:30
Global stock market breadth is improving

Global stock market breadth is improving

Overall market action looking healthier despite recent setbacks for global stocks

Tue Jan 24 2023 - 05:00
Investors turn their back on the US

Investors turn their back on the US

Despite last year’s rise in the dollar, the US also underperformed in 2022

Tue Jan 24 2023 - 04:40
Can European stocks keep gaining?

Can European stocks keep gaining?

Analyst suggests rally is more a case of short sellers covering losing bets than fund managers upping allocations

Tue Jan 24 2023 - 04:20
Fund managers are still wary about stocks

Fund managers are still wary about stocks

Investors especially reluctant to buy US stocks while angst regarding Europe continues to recede

Tue Jan 24 2023 - 04:00
Tesla and other EV stocks a car crash for investor returns

Tesla and other EV stocks a car crash for investor returns

Seventeen of the 18 electric vehicle stocks to go public since mid-2020 are in the red by a median 87%

Tue Jan 17 2023 - 05:00
Are low expectations for US earnings low enough?

Are low expectations for US earnings low enough?

Profit margins remain near all-time highs and are well above pre-pandemic levels

Tue Jan 17 2023 - 05:00
Tech giants are masking healthy signs in US indices

Tech giants are masking healthy signs in US indices

65% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 200-day average but this growth is happening under the radar

Tue Jan 17 2023 - 04:45
Is the bear market ending?

Is the bear market ending?

European stocks, buoyed by easing energy prices, better-than-expected economic data and China’s reopening, have been especially strong

Tue Jan 17 2023 - 04:30
Tesla’s share price collapse was overdue

Tesla’s share price collapse was overdue

Carmaker is no longer overvalued but its shares are still not cheap, even after 70% pullback in market cap

Tue Jan 10 2023 - 05:40
Don’t expect average returns in 2023

Don’t expect average returns in 2023

US stocks have delivered ‘average’ returns in the 8%-10% range in only one year since 1928

Tue Jan 10 2023 - 05:15
Tech stocks key to market fortunes

Tech stocks key to market fortunes

Just six stocks – Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Tesla and Meta – were responsible for one-third of the MSCI world index’s 19.5% fall last year

Tue Jan 10 2023 - 05:00
2022 was an annus horribilis for investors

2022 was an annus horribilis for investors

Research shows bad years tend to be followed by strong gains but there’s little current sign of an end to the bear market

Tue Jan 10 2023 - 04:30
Musk’s culture war is hurting Tesla’s brand

Musk’s culture war is hurting Tesla’s brand

Investor urges carmaker’s chief to stop ‘attacking his woke left customer base’ following sharp drop in company’s stock value

Tue Dec 20 2022 - 05:30
Don’t fight the Fed

Don’t fight the Fed

The Federal Reserve expects interest rates to exceed 5% at the end of 2023, 75 basis points higher than market expectations

Tue Dec 20 2022 - 05:15
Fund managers still cautious about stocks  despite a drop in risk aversion

Fund managers still cautious about stocks despite a drop in risk aversion

Cash levels have fallen but they remain much higher than usual

Tue Dec 20 2022 - 04:55
Next decade looks better for investors

Next decade looks better for investors

US stocks are expected to return 4.7% to 6.7% annually over the next decade, and bond outlook is much improved thanks to rising rates

Tue Dec 20 2022 - 04:30
Investors still focused on past performance

Investors still focused on past performance

Savers are more cost-conscious but nine in 10 still consider common performance measures when selecting a fund

Tue Dec 13 2022 - 05:15
Markets fret over US recession

Markets fret over US recession

The Federal Reserve’s recession probability model estimates recession odds of just 38% in the next year

Tue Dec 13 2022 - 05:00
A crystal ball on earnings is of little use

A crystal ball on earnings is of little use

Stock prices are sensitive to ‘sentiment and vibes’, which are beyond the reach of any rational forecast

Tue Dec 13 2022 - 04:45
Wall Street predicts a rough ride for stocks in 2023

Wall Street predicts a rough ride for stocks in 2023

Variability in forecasts between banks and even between best/worst scenarios within banks is wider than usual, underlining uncertainty

Tue Dec 13 2022 - 04:30
Stockwatch: ECB puts the boot into bitcoin

Stockwatch: ECB puts the boot into bitcoin

Central bankers say bitcoin is on ‘the road to irrelevance’, but it is still capable of bouncing back

Tue Dec 06 2022 - 05:30
History suggests 2023 will be better for shares

History suggests 2023 will be better for shares

Stocktake

Tue Dec 06 2022 - 05:15
Value stocks priced for more outperformance

Value stocks priced for more outperformance

The most expensive US growth stocks still look pricey relative to the rest of the market

Tue Dec 06 2022 - 05:00
Stocktake: Have investors become complacent about a US recession?

Stocktake: Have investors become complacent about a US recession?

Recent rally may be close to its end point as investors are ‘overbought and overconfident’

Tue Dec 06 2022 - 04:30
Stocktake: Goldman warns of ‘lingering’ bear market in 2023

Stocktake: Goldman warns of ‘lingering’ bear market in 2023

Analyst is looking for more signs of investor capitulation before equity valuations bottom out

Tue Nov 29 2022 - 05:15
Stocktake: Can a global index be undiversified?

Stocktake: Can a global index be undiversified?

US stocks now comprise about 70% of the index, double the percentage in 1995

Tue Nov 29 2022 - 05:00
Markets turn calm after hectic year

Markets turn calm after hectic year

Typically stocks do well in calm periods and not so well in volatile periods

Tue Nov 29 2022 - 04:45
More stocks are participating in market rally

More stocks are participating in market rally

Long-term market breadth is expanding rapidly, suggesting the bears are losing control of the market narrative

Tue Nov 29 2022 - 04:30
Investing in political influence pays off

Investing in political influence pays off

Over the last 20 years, high lobbying yield stocks outperformed the market by 2.3% per year with ‘remarkable consistency’

Tue Nov 22 2022 - 05:30
High inflation may persist for years

High inflation may persist for years

Fed’s expectations regarding the speed of inflation reverting to 2% remain ‘dangerously optimistic’

Tue Nov 22 2022 - 05:00
Strategists: buy weakness, not strength

Strategists: buy weakness, not strength

Market bulls have been burned on so many occasions this year that it’s not surprising strategists are a little cautious

Tue Nov 22 2022 - 04:45
Stocktake: Fund managers still ‘uber-bearish’, says BofA

Stocktake: Fund managers still ‘uber-bearish’, says BofA

Investors are especially wary of technology stocks, with allocations hitting their lowest level since 2006

Tue Nov 22 2022 - 04:30
Stocktake: Forecast annual stock return for the next 10 to 15 years leaps to 7.9%

Stocktake: Forecast annual stock return for the next 10 to 15 years leaps to 7.9%

US stocks are now priced to deliver long-term annualised returns of 7.9% up from 4.1% a year ago

Tue Nov 15 2022 - 05:15
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