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US earnings season: good, but not great

US earnings season: good, but not great

Earnings beat rate is high because analysts ‘clearly went too far’ when slashing estimates earlier this year

Tue May 09 2023 - 04:30
Will the Fed pause become a Fed pivot?

Will the Fed pause become a Fed pivot?

Investors might do well to keep an open mind and heed Powell’s wait-and-see message

Tue May 09 2023 - 04:00
Stocktake: Buying the dips beats buying into momentum

Stocktake: Buying the dips beats buying into momentum

Study shows buying after market falls is a smart option, but buy-and-hold investors perform best of all

Tue May 02 2023 - 05:15
European stocks poised to outperform the US

European stocks poised to outperform the US

Europe has generally traded at a discount to the US, but today’s valuation gap is especially notable and market history suggests Europe now is a better bet

Tue May 02 2023 - 05:00
Stocktake: Tech giants are surging ahead as they beat analysts’ earnings expectations

Stocktake: Tech giants are surging ahead as they beat analysts’ earnings expectations

Big tech bests analys expectations after largely missing estimates over the last four quarters

Tue May 02 2023 - 04:45
Stocktake: A handful of tech giants are driving almost all US market gains

Stocktake: A handful of tech giants are driving almost all US market gains

Analysts say gains are largely linked to firms with AI technologies and are concerned by market’s extreme imbalance

Tue May 02 2023 - 04:00
Earnings season gets under way

Earnings season gets under way

Percentage of companies beating estimates is the highest in over a decade

Tue Apr 25 2023 - 05:00
Six-month rally augurs well for stocks

Six-month rally augurs well for stocks

Stocks have been stuck in a trading range for months with the index currently near the top of that range

Tue Apr 25 2023 - 04:45
Fund managers are increasingly bearish

Fund managers are increasingly bearish

Managers may reverse course and start buying if the ‘consensus lust for recession’ is not immediately satisfied in the second quarter

Tue Apr 25 2023 - 04:20
THG chief’s online rant is misplaced

THG chief’s online rant is misplaced

Online retailer rails against shorting that did not become a significant feature until its third profit warning in a year

Tue Apr 25 2023 - 04:00
Emerging markets: less risk, more reward

Emerging markets: less risk, more reward

Huge outperformance of American indices means your global investment portfolio may be less diversified than you think

Tue Apr 18 2023 - 05:15
Hedge funds are betting stocks will fall

Hedge funds are betting stocks will fall

Contrarians will be hoping another short squeeze fuels the next leg up in markets

Tue Apr 18 2023 - 05:00
Big tech stocks driving market gains

Big tech stocks driving market gains

In previous years where Nasdaq gained 10%-25%, median number of stocks accounting for half those gains was three

Tue Apr 18 2023 - 04:45
European investors ‘too ebullient’

European investors ‘too ebullient’

Europe still has ground to make having underperformed US for many years but some analysts say markets are exposed

Tue Apr 18 2023 - 04:30
Investors prefer early alphabet stocks, but why?

Investors prefer early alphabet stocks, but why?

There must be better investment short cuts than buying a stock because it begins with the letter ‘A’

Tue Apr 11 2023 - 05:15
More downside risk for stocks?

More downside risk for stocks?

The yield curve has never remained inverted six months after a major bear market bottom

Tue Apr 11 2023 - 05:00
Range-bound market defies bulls and bears

Range-bound market defies bulls and bears

Keep an open mind on whether eventual breakout from trading range will be to the upside or downside

Tue Apr 11 2023 - 04:45
Narrow rally ‘raises the stakes’ for tech stock earnings season

Narrow rally ‘raises the stakes’ for tech stock earnings season

Mega-cap strength is masking broader weakness across stock market indices

Tue Apr 11 2023 - 04:30
Quarterly gains bode well for 2023

Quarterly gains bode well for 2023

S&P 500 remains in an uptrend, having never once closed below its December low during the first quarter

Tue Apr 04 2023 - 04:45
European stock market rally looks very different to US

European stock market rally looks very different to US

Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet account for almost all of S&P 500′s gains in the first quarter

Tue Apr 04 2023 - 04:30
Narrow market rally poses risks

Narrow market rally poses risks

Outsize weighting in big stocks such as Apple and Microsoft masks broader market weakness

Tue Apr 04 2023 - 04:15
Calm returns to stock markets with S&P on the rise

Calm returns to stock markets with S&P on the rise

Things may well get worse but for now, investors will be relieved March didn’t turn out nearly as bad as feared

Tue Apr 04 2023 - 04:00
Do fund managers care about ESG? Perhaps not

Do fund managers care about ESG? Perhaps not

Study found the more money a fund manager has invested in a fund, the lower the ESG performance of the fund

Tue Mar 28 2023 - 05:15
Fang stocks regain their bite

Fang stocks regain their bite

Near record levels of outperformance is partly explained by the awful performance of tech stocks in 2022 but scale of the rebound is unexpected

Tue Mar 28 2023 - 05:05
Powell is adding to market volatility

Powell is adding to market volatility

Market volatility has been three times greater during press conferences held by Powell than those held by his predecessors, Bernanke and Yellen

Tue Mar 28 2023 - 04:55
Investors are bearish but no sign of a ‘perfect low’

Investors are bearish but no sign of a ‘perfect low’

Fund managers are steering clear of stocks and are especially wary of the world’s biggest market, with allocations to the US falling to 18-year lows

Tue Mar 28 2023 - 04:30
Bank collapse blamed on wokeness

Bank collapse blamed on wokeness

Diversity in the Silicon Valley Bank boardroom cited by some as a ‘distraction’

Tue Mar 21 2023 - 05:15
Banking woes catch markets off guard

Banking woes catch markets off guard

Forecasting is a tricky business which is why investors should stick to their long-term plans in turbulent times

Tue Mar 21 2023 - 05:00
Fed faces rate-hiking dilemma

Fed faces rate-hiking dilemma

Banking sector jitters lead to calls for restraint but inflation still hasn’t gone away

Tue Mar 21 2023 - 04:45
Are more ‘financial flameouts’ coming?

Are more ‘financial flameouts’ coming?

Analysts say volatility in bank share prices resembles past eras of generalised market stress

Tue Mar 21 2023 - 04:30
Time heals wounds for investors

Time heals wounds for investors

The S&P 500 is up 490% since the market bottomed out during the global financial crisis, or 13.5% annualised

Tue Mar 14 2023 - 05:15
Good and bad news for active funds

Good and bad news for active funds

Percentage outperforming in 2022 was the highest in 13 years but investors were still better off in index funds

Tue Mar 14 2023 - 05:00
Trend followers stay positive on stocks

Trend followers stay positive on stocks

S&P500 trading above its 200-day moving average is not what a normal bear market rally looks like

Tue Mar 14 2023 - 04:45
Investors debate US Fed’s next move

Investors debate US Fed’s next move

Fed chief Jerome Powell spooked investors last week, saying he was ‘prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes’

Tue Mar 14 2023 - 04:30
Shine comes off vaccine stocks

Shine comes off vaccine stocks

Novavax had a terrible week while Pfizer and Moderna are well off their pandemic highs

Tue Mar 07 2023 - 05:15
Don’t be blinded by US ‘success bias’

Don’t be blinded by US ‘success bias’

A dollar invested in US equities in 1900 would be worth $2,024 today, compared with $176 for an investment in stocks from the rest of the world

Tue Mar 07 2023 - 05:00
Investors spooked, but market retreat is ‘healthy’

Investors spooked, but market retreat is ‘healthy’

Speed of U-turn in sentiment is marked given the modest nature of the 6% pullback in the S&P500

Tue Mar 07 2023 - 04:45
Will high yields hurt demands for stocks?

Will high yields hurt demands for stocks?

The S&P 500′s dividend yield is just 1.7%, compared with more than 5% for ‘almost risk-free’ six-month treasury bills

Tue Mar 07 2023 - 04:30
Will a US recession prolong the bear market?

Will a US recession prolong the bear market?

Markets have started pricing in rate hikes much earlier than normal

Tue Feb 28 2023 - 05:20
Don’t wait too late to invest

Don’t wait too late to invest

Mountain of academic evidence confirms market timing is a tricky business

Tue Feb 28 2023 - 05:15
No need to panic over stocks ‘death zone’ warning

No need to panic over stocks ‘death zone’ warning

Analysts’ dramatic language confuses prediction of earnings recession because of over-earning enjoyed during Covid

Tue Feb 28 2023 - 05:00
Good news is bad news for stocks

Good news is bad news for stocks

Continued economic strength means inflation is not coming down quickly enough

Tue Feb 28 2023 - 04:30
Tax treatment of exchange-traded funds has to change

Tax treatment of exchange-traded funds has to change

Higher tax rate can encourage investors either to take bigger risks, or leave cash earning nothing on deposit

Tue Feb 21 2023 - 05:01
Investors shrug off lacklustre earnings

Investors shrug off lacklustre earnings

Forward earnings growth has turned negative which has happened four times since 2000, with stocks seeing significant downside each time

Tue Feb 21 2023 - 04:45
Pain trade is still up for stocks

Pain trade is still up for stocks

Cash allocations may have fallen, but they remain well above historical averages

Tue Feb 21 2023 - 04:30
Momentum bodes well for stocks

Momentum bodes well for stocks

The S&P 500 index has registered 10 consecutive days above its one-year moving average

Tue Feb 21 2023 - 04:01
Tech stocks enjoy big rebound despite poor earnings

Tech stocks enjoy big rebound despite poor earnings

Stocktake: Signs of hope after a rough 2022 but stocks are unlikely to sustain strong performance in a high interest-rate environment

Tue Feb 14 2023 - 04:00
Market behaviour looks increasingly bullish

Market behaviour looks increasingly bullish

At its recent peak, the S&P 500 was 20.1 per cent above its October low and rally has lasted four months now

Tue Feb 14 2023 - 04:00
Stocktake: Have investors overreacted to Microsoft’s ChatGPT threat to Google?

Stocktake: Have investors overreacted to Microsoft’s ChatGPT threat to Google?

Alphabet shares lost $100bn in value last week after Google’s chatbot Bard made an error in a promotional video

Tue Feb 14 2023 - 04:00
High levels of trading could augur well for stocks

High levels of trading could augur well for stocks

Stocktake: Analyst points to intraday gains on 12 days out of 13, which is rare and a feature of a bull market

Tue Feb 14 2023 - 04:00
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